The St. Louis Cardinals are 28-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 24-24 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Sonny Gray is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara. Sonny Gray has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sandy Alcantara has a 47% chance of a QS. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Cardinals has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 65%. In Sandy Alcantara quality starts the Marlins win 58%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Brendan Donovan who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Stowers who averaged 1.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-24, 50% 1038 | Record at Home | 28-20, 58% 492 | Miami Marlins |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-33, 40% -73 | vs Team Under .500 | 26-20, 57% 262 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-22, 51% 1173 | Record As Home Favorite | 15-10, 60% 38 | Miami Marlins |
| When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 9-11, 45% -141 | When Sonny Gray Starts | 14-5, 74% 566 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-3, 62% 311 | Record at Home | 3-3, 50% -126 | Miami Marlins |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-2, 60% 176 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-2, 50% 16 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 311 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -126 | Miami Marlins |
| When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 1-2, 33% -96 | When Sonny Gray Starts | 2-2, 50% -93 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 26-22, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 26-20, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-1, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS | 12-7, 63% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 21-27, 44% +15 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 23-25, 48% -391 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-4, 50% -4 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 0-6, 0% -600
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 24-24, 50% -1028 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 29-19, 60% +412 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-4, 50% -97 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 3-3, 50% -126
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 22-15, 59% + 550 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 22-19, 54% + 110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 3-0, 100% + 300 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 1-3, 25% -230
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