July 29, 2025 9:41 AM EST

Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians 7/29/2025

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The Cleveland Guardians are 24-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 12-38 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Logan Allen is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Tanner Gordon. Logan Allen has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tanner Gordon has a 42% chance of a QS. If Logan Allen has a quality start the Guardians has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 64%. In Tanner Gordon quality starts the Rockies win 59%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Mickey Moniak who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Colorado RockiesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-38, 24% -1861Record at Home24-24, 50% -513Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better10-56, 15% -3764vs Team Under .50029-13, 69% 1022Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog10-38, 21% -1974Record As Home Favorite17-10, 63% 141Cleveland Guardians
When Tanner Gordon Starts1-1, 50% 160When Logan Allen Starts8-11, 42% -362Colorado Rockies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies

Colorado RockiesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-5, 29% -104Record at Home4-5, 44% -215Colorado Rockies
VS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% 54vs Team Under .5005-6, 45% -232Colorado Rockies
Record As Road Underdog2-5, 29% -104Record As Home Favorite4-1, 80% 185Cleveland Guardians
When Tanner Gordon Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Logan Allen Starts1-3, 25% -221Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado RockiesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-32, 36% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-23, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-38, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Gordon STARTS0-2, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS7-11, 39% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 36-14, 72% +1764 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 27-21, 56% +323 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-1, 86% +454 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-2, 78% +381

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 40-10, 80% +519 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 32-16, 67% +814 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-2, 71% -18 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 8-1, 89% +479

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 20-22, 48% -420 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 22-18, 55% + 220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 0-6, 0% -660 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

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