July 28, 2025 9:11 AM EST

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels 7/28/2025

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The Texas Rangers are 22-30 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 24-23 at home. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rangers starter Jacob deGrom is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz. Jacob deGrom has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Kochanowicz has a 39% chance of a QS. If Jacob deGrom has a quality start the Rangers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 59%. In Jack Kochanowicz quality starts the Angels win 69%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Texas RangersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-30, 42% -935Record at Home24-23, 51% 143Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels5-2, 71% 226VS Texas Rangers2-5, 29% -276Texas Rangers
vs Team Under .50026-17, 60% 133vs Team .500 or Better32-35, 48% 935Los Angeles Angels
Record as Road Favorite8-10, 44% -436Record as Home Underdog16-16, 50% 262Los Angeles Angels
When Jacob deGrom Starts12-7, 63% -40When Jack Kochanowicz Starts8-11, 42% 21Los Angeles Angels

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Texas RangersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 12Record at Home5-4, 56% 102Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels2-2, 50% -22VS Texas Rangers2-2, 50% 24Los Angeles Angels
vs Team Under .5008-4, 67% 188vs Team .500 or Better4-8, 33% -246Texas Rangers
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -116Record as Home Underdog4-2, 67% 226Los Angeles Angels
When Jacob deGrom Starts2-2, 50% -103When Jack Kochanowicz Starts0-3, 0% -300Texas Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-29, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-19, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-1, 89% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jacob deGrom STARTS11-8, 58% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jack Kochanowicz STARTS9-10, 47% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 30-22, 58% +89 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 27-20, 57% +877 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 8-2, 80% +439 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-3, 67% +267

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 30-22, 58% +112 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 28-19, 60% +424 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-5, 50% -67 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-4, 56% +38

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 24-22, 52% -20 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 17-25, 40% -1050 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 2-7, 22% -570

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