July 28, 2025 9:11 AM EST

Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians 7/28/2025

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The Cleveland Guardians are 24-24 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 12-38 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Slade Cecconi is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Bradley Blalock. Slade Cecconi has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bradley Blalock has a 21% chance of a QS. If Slade Cecconi has a quality start the Guardians has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 75%. In Bradley Blalock quality starts the Rockies win 57%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Mickey Moniak who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 41% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Colorado RockiesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-38, 24% -1861Record at Home24-24, 50% -513Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better10-56, 15% -3764vs Team Under .50029-13, 69% 1022Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog10-38, 21% -1974Record As Home Favorite17-10, 63% 141Cleveland Guardians
When Bradley Blalock Starts1-3, 25% -166When Slade Cecconi Starts6-4, 60% 185Cleveland Guardians

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Colorado RockiesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-6, 25% -204Record at Home4-6, 40% -315Colorado Rockies
VS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-8, 27% -349vs Team Under .5004-6, 40% -315Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog2-6, 25% -204Record As Home Favorite4-2, 67% 85Cleveland Guardians
When Bradley Blalock Starts1-1, 50% 34When Slade Cecconi Starts2-2, 50% -1Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado RockiesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-32, 36% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-23, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-38, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Bradley Blalock STARTS3-1, 75% OverOVER-UNDER IN Slade Cecconi STARTS3-7, 30% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 36-14, 72% +1764 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 27-21, 56% +323 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 7-1, 88% +496 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-3, 70% +281

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 40-10, 80% +519 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 32-16, 67% +814 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-2, 75% +24 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 8-2, 80% +379

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 20-22, 48% -420 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 22-18, 55% + 220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 0-6, 0% -660 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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