The Milwaukee Brewers are 33-17 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 24-24 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Cal Quantrill. Freddy Peralta has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cal Quantrill has a 39% chance of a QS. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 69%. In Cal Quantrill quality starts the Marlins win 57%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Stowers who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-24, 50% 1038 | Record at Home | 33-17, 66% 956 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-2, 33% -87 | VS Miami Marlins | 2-1, 67% 77 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-33, 40% -73 | vs Team Under .500 | 27-16, 63% 451 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-22, 51% 1173 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-8, 73% 700 | Miami Marlins |
| When Cal Quantrill Starts | 11-9, 55% 855 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 14-7, 67% 361 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-3, 75% 917 | Record at Home | 9-1, 90% 571 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-2, 33% -87 | VS Miami Marlins | 2-1, 67% 77 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-4, 50% 11 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-4, 50% -18 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-3, 75% 917 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-1, 86% 210 | Miami Marlins |
| When Cal Quantrill Starts | 3-1, 75% 282 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 5-0, 100% 433 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 26-22, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-29, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-34, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cal Quantrill STARTS | 7-13, 35% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 10-11, 48% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 21-27, 44% +15 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 22-28, 44% -860 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-6, 50% +131 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-6, 40% -264
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 24-24, 50% -1028 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 27-23, 54% -406 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-8, 33% -497 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-5, 50% -278
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 22-15, 59% + 550 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 19-28, 40% -1180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
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