The Cleveland Guardians are 24-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 22-31 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Logan Allen is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Charlie Morton. Logan Allen has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 40% chance of a QS. If Logan Allen has a quality start the Guardians has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 62%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Orioles win 64%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-31, 42% -735 | Record at Home | 24-24, 50% -513 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 2-3, 40% -138 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 3-2, 60% 66 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-34, 44% -614 | vs Team Under .500 | 29-13, 69% 1022 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 18-25, 42% -446 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-10, 63% 141 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 7-9, 44% -237 | When Logan Allen Starts | 8-11, 42% -362 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% -18 | Record at Home | 5-9, 36% -524 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-0, 100% 136 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-5, 55% 193 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-8, 47% -296 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% -108 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-3, 57% -15 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 2-2, 50% 62 | When Logan Allen Starts | 1-4, 20% -321 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-33, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-23, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-5, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 6-9, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS | 7-11, 39% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 27-26, 51% -204 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 27-21, 56% +323 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-5, 55% +156 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 9-5, 64% +275
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 29-24, 55% -178 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 32-16, 67% +814 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-5, 55% -84 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 10-4, 71% +373
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 36-13, 73% + 2170 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 22-18, 55% + 220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70
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