July 22, 2025 4:03 PM EST

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/22/2025

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 34-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 21-31 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Simeon Woods Richardson. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Simeon Woods Richardson has a 32% chance of a QS. If Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a quality start the Dodgers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 63%. In Simeon Woods Richardson quality starts the Twins win 63%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Minnesota TwinsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-31, 40% -1287Record at Home34-20, 63% -341Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-1, 0% -100VS Minnesota Twins1-0, 100% 48Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better23-33, 41% -1204vs Team .500 or Better28-30, 48% -1097Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog10-22, 31% -1094Record As Home Favorite33-20, 62% -443Los Angeles Dodgers
When Simeon Woods Richardson Starts9-6, 60% 198When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts11-11, 50% -550Minnesota Twins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -485Record at Home5-6, 45% -424Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-1, 0% -100VS Minnesota Twins1-0, 100% 48Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better6-9, 40% -369vs Team .500 or Better3-9, 25% -809Minnesota Twins
Record As Road Underdog1-3, 25% -205Record As Home Favorite5-6, 45% -424Minnesota Twins
When Simeon Woods Richardson Starts4-1, 80% 275When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts3-4, 43% -273Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-30, 40% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-19, 63% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-8, 20% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-40, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON51-33, 61% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Simeon Woods Richardson STARTS5-9, 36% OverOVER-UNDER IN Yoshinobu Yamamoto STARTS9-13, 41% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 32-20, 62% +917 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 25-29, 46% -1120 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-4, 60% +316 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 4-7, 36% -552

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 35-17, 67% +949 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 33-21, 61% -506 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 5-5, 50% -219 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -424

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 25-15, 62% + 850 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 22-19, 54% + 110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 1-6, 14% -560

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