The Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 23-21 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Colton Gordon. Zac Gallen has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Colton Gordon has a 26% chance of a QS. If Zac Gallen has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 68%. In Colton Gordon quality starts the Astros win 62%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-21, 52% -16 | Record at Home | 23-25, 48% -770 | Houston Astros |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 27-16, 63% 412 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-28, 47% -462 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-10, 47% 152 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-22, 44% -1117 | Houston Astros |
| When Colton Gordon Starts | 5-2, 71% 322 | When Zac Gallen Starts | 8-11, 42% -365 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-2, 75% 414 | Record at Home | 3-7, 30% -430 | Houston Astros |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-1, 67% 1 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-3, 0% -300 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-1, 75% 332 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-6, 25% -458 | Houston Astros |
| When Colton Gordon Starts | 3-0, 100% 358 | When Zac Gallen Starts | 1-1, 50% -27 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-21, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-21, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-2, 71% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 50-29, 63% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Colton Gordon STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zac Gallen STARTS | 11-8, 58% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 19-25, 43% -646 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 21-27, 44% -1027 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 2-6, 25% -359 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-7, 30% -430
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 23-21, 52% -238 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 22-26, 46% -960 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 2-6, 25% -479 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-7, 30% -430
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 16-17, 48% -270 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 20-20, 50% -200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
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