The Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 22-26 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. Merrill Kelly has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 35% chance of a QS. If Merrill Kelly has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 71%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 59%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-26, 46% -385 | Record at Home | 23-25, 48% -770 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 3-0, 100% 279 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-3, 0% -300 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 26-15, 63% 857 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-28, 47% -462 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-19, 41% -373 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-22, 44% -1117 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 8-10, 44% -170 | When Merrill Kelly Starts | 9-9, 50% -194 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-5, 44% -104 | Record at Home | 3-7, 30% -430 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-1, 83% 292 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-3, 0% -300 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -73 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-6, 25% -458 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 1-2, 33% -101 | When Merrill Kelly Starts | 1-3, 25% -254 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-22, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-21, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 50-29, 63% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 10-8, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Merrill Kelly STARTS | 10-8, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 25-23, 52% -21 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 21-27, 44% -1027 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-3, 67% +246 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-7, 30% -430
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 29-19, 60% +360 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 22-26, 46% -960 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-2, 78% +341 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-7, 30% -430
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 17-23, 42% -830 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 20-20, 50% -200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
