The Washington Nationals are 18-28 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 21-26 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals starter MacKenzie Gore is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Nick Pivetta. MacKenzie Gore has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nick Pivetta has a 49% chance of a QS. If MacKenzie Gore has a quality start the Nationals has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 58%. In Nick Pivetta quality starts the Padres win 63%. He has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-26, 45% -311 | Record at Home | 18-28, 39% -574 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Washington Nationals | 2-1, 67% 23 | VS San Diego Padres | 1-2, 33% -56 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 32-11, 74% 1273 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-30, 35% -772 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-9, 40% -502 | Record as Home Underdog | 17-19, 47% 265 | Washington Nationals |
| When Nick Pivetta Starts | 10-7, 59% 170 | When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 6-11, 35% -451 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-4, 33% -193 | Record at Home | 2-4, 33% -181 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 2-1, 67% 23 | VS San Diego Padres | 1-2, 33% -56 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-4, 56% 5 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% 79 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-1, 50% -21 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-3, 40% -81 | San Diego Padres |
| When Nick Pivetta Starts | 2-2, 50% -57 | When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-25, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 24-20, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-3, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-0, 100% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN MacKenzie Gore STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 29-18, 62% +1016 Washington Nationals Home Games: 22-24, 48% +29 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-2, 67% +92 Washington Nationals Home Games: 2-4, 33% -212
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 29-18, 62% +440 Washington Nationals Home Games: 20-26, 43% -1112 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-2, 67% +92 Washington Nationals Home Games: 3-3, 50% -72
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 23-15, 61% + 650 Washington Nationals Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 Washington Nationals Home Games: 1-4, 20% -340
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