July 20, 2025 5:22 AM EST

New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves 7/20/2025

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The Atlanta Braves are 24-22 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 23-24 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Grant Holmes has a 38% chance of a QS and Marcus Stroman a 34% chance. If Grant Holmes has a quality start the Braves has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 56%. If Marcus Stroman has a quality start the Yankees has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 3.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 57% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-24, 49% -868Record at Home24-22, 52% -691Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50028-15, 65% 84vs Team .500 or Better23-31, 43% -1378New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog2-6, 25% -362Record As Home Favorite22-19, 54% -616New York Yankees
When Marcus Stroman Starts4-2, 67% 62When Grant Holmes Starts6-12, 33% -706New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-8, 20% -701Record at Home2-7, 22% -557Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-5, 44% -316vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -572New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog0-1, 0% -100Record As Home Favorite2-7, 22% -557New York Yankees
When Marcus Stroman Starts1-1, 50% -55When Grant Holmes Starts1-3, 25% -236New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-22, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-28, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-40, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON26-55, 32% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Marcus Stroman STARTS5-1, 83% OverOVER-UNDER IN Grant Holmes STARTS7-11, 39% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 20-27, 43% -684 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 22-24, 48% -805 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-4, 60% +289 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 2-7, 22% -502

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 25-22, 53% -406 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 24-22, 52% -749 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 4-6, 40% -279 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 1-8, 11% -736

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 20-21, 49% -310 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 15-26, 37% -1360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

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