The New York Mets are 33-14 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 22-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Andrew Abbott is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter David Peterson. Andrew Abbott has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while David Peterson has a 30% chance of a QS. If Andrew Abbott has a quality start the Reds has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 57%. In David Peterson quality starts the Mets win 71%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 82% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-25, 47% -91 | Record at Home | 33-14, 70% 771 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 20-27, 43% -541 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-19, 57% 366 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-19, 46% 60 | Record As Home Favorite | 29-9, 76% 829 | New York Mets |
| When Andrew Abbott Starts | 11-5, 69% 612 | When David Peterson Starts | 10-7, 59% -59 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -269 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 129 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-3, 50% 49 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -337 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -355 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-1, 80% 203 | New York Mets |
| When Andrew Abbott Starts | 2-1, 67% 119 | When David Peterson Starts | 1-2, 33% -139 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-25, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-23, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Abbott STARTS | 9-7, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN David Peterson STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 23-24, 49% -532 New York Mets Home Games: 21-26, 45% -1152 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-6, 33% -355 New York Mets Home Games: 5-5, 50% -96
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 27-20, 57% +28 New York Mets Home Games: 26-21, 55% -555 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-3, 67% +100 New York Mets Home Games: 7-3, 70% +224
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 17-25, 40% -1050 New York Mets Home Games: 17-18, 49% -280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 New York Mets Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240
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