The Tampa Bay Rays are 28-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 21-27 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Ryan Pepiot is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Trevor Rogers. Ryan Pepiot has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 47% chance of a QS. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Rays has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 57%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Orioles win 63%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-27, 44% -439 | Record at Home | 28-25, 53% -386 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 4-3, 57% 116 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 3-4, 43% -149 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 20-24, 45% -289 | vs Team Under .500 | 25-24, 51% -444 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 17-21, 45% -150 | Record As Home Favorite | 24-18, 57% -106 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Trevor Rogers Starts | 4-1, 80% 296 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 8-11, 42% -492 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-4, 56% 270 | Record at Home | 3-3, 50% -92 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 2-1, 67% 101 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-2, 33% -107 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -133 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% -44 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-4, 50% 180 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -92 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Trevor Rogers Starts | 3-0, 100% 294 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 2-1, 67% 19 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-31, 34% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-29, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-1, 83% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS | 8-11, 42% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 23-25, 48% -478 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 29-24, 55% +54 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-5, 44% -111 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 2-4, 33% -266
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 25-23, 52% -372 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 31-22, 58% +179 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-5, 44% -271 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 2-4, 33% -266
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 33-12, 73% + 1980 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 28-19, 60% + 710 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 1-5, 17% -450
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