July 02, 2025 9:19 AM EST

Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins 7/2/2025

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The Miami Marlins are 17-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 19-26 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Janson Junk is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Simeon Woods Richardson. Janson Junk has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Simeon Woods Richardson has a 42% chance of a QS. If Janson Junk has a quality start the Marlins has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.2 and he has a 66% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 60%. In Simeon Woods Richardson quality starts the Twins win 65%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Sanchez who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 65% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Minnesota TwinsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-26, 42% -907Record at Home17-24, 41% -321Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50025-16, 61% 388vs Team .500 or Better21-31, 40% 157Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite9-5, 64% 87Record as Home Underdog15-21, 42% -168Minnesota Twins
When Simeon Woods Richardson Starts6-5, 55% 5When Janson Junk Starts1-0, 100% 153Miami Marlins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -443Record at Home3-7, 30% -303Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-14, 22% -1082vs Team Under .5008-4, 67% 671Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite3-1, 75% 68Record as Home Underdog3-5, 38% -103Minnesota Twins
When Simeon Woods Richardson Starts1-2, 33% -118When Janson Junk Starts1-0, 100% 153Miami Marlins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-24, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-23, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-8, 20% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-40, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON56-23, 71% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Simeon Woods Richardson STARTS4-7, 36% OverOVER-UNDER IN Janson Junk STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 27-18, 60% +464 Miami Marlins Home Games: 22-19, 54% +155 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 7-6, 54% +42 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-5, 50% +125

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 32-13, 71% +1167 Miami Marlins Home Games: 23-18, 56% -240 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 9-4, 69% +193 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-5, 50% -182

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 Miami Marlins Home Games: 19-18, 51% -80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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