The Boston Red Sox are 23-19 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 20-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Nick Martinez is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Brayan Bello. Nick Martinez has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brayan Bello has a 30% chance of a QS. If Nick Martinez has a quality start the Reds has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 59%. In Brayan Bello quality starts the Red Sox win 69%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Abraham Toro who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 81% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-21, 49% 64 | Record at Home | 23-19, 55% 34 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 23-17, 58% 348 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-22, 49% 10 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-15, 48% 215 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-16, 50% -481 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Nick Martinez Starts | 5-11, 31% -667 | When Brayan Bello Starts | 5-7, 42% -218 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-4, 56% 229 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 224 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-5, 55% 186 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-8, 33% -437 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-4, 50% 143 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -172 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Nick Martinez Starts | 2-2, 50% 12 | When Brayan Bello Starts | 1-4, 20% -247 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-22, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-24, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-42, 45% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nick Martinez STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brayan Bello STARTS | 7-5, 58% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 21-20, 51% -377 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 23-19, 55% +508 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-4, 56% +46 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-4, 67% +490
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 23-18, 56% -35 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 22-20, 52% -252 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-6, 33% -366 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 6-6, 50% -50
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 14-22, 39% -1020 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 19-17, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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