July 02, 2025 9:19 AM EST

Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers 7/2/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Texas Rangers are 24-18 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 17-25 on the road this season. The Rangers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano. Nathan Eovaldi has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tomoyuki Sugano has a 43% chance of a QS. If Nathan Eovaldi has a quality start the Rangers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 64%. In Tomoyuki Sugano quality starts the Orioles win 57%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 1.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Baltimore OriolesRECORDTexas RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-25, 40% -717Record at Home24-18, 57% -136Texas Rangers
VS Texas Rangers1-2, 33% -124VS Baltimore Orioles2-1, 67% 75Texas Rangers
vs Team Under .50018-25, 42% -1152vs Team Under .50024-17, 59% 44Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog14-19, 42% -338Record As Home Favorite20-8, 71% 433Texas Rangers
When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts9-5, 64% 429When Nathan Eovaldi Starts6-6, 50% -100Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore OriolesRECORDTexas RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-6, 54% 231Record at Home4-5, 44% -247Baltimore Orioles
VS Texas Rangers1-2, 33% -124VS Baltimore Orioles2-1, 67% 75Texas Rangers
vs Team .500 or Better9-7, 56% 81vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -180Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog6-4, 60% 348Record As Home Favorite3-2, 60% -65Baltimore Orioles
When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts4-1, 80% 381When Nathan Eovaldi Starts0-0 No GamesBaltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore OriolesRECORDTexas RangersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-28, 32% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME12-29, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-11, 15% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-48, 41% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Tomoyuki Sugano STARTS5-9, 36% OverOVER-UNDER IN Nathan Eovaldi STARTS2-9, 18% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 21-21, 50% -200 Texas Rangers Home Games: 17-25, 40% -1151 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 3-10, 23% -654 Texas Rangers Home Games: 0-9, 0% -900

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 23-19, 55% -94 Texas Rangers Home Games: 23-19, 55% -385 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-9, 31% -635 Texas Rangers Home Games: 3-6, 33% -465

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 30-10, 75% + 1900 Texas Rangers Home Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 9-4, 69% + 460 Texas Rangers Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW