The Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 22-26 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Ryne Nelson has a 52% chance of a QS and Sonny Gray a 52% chance. If Ryne Nelson has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 61%. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Cardinals has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-26, 46% -385 | Record at Home | 23-25, 48% -770 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 3-0, 100% 279 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-3, 0% -300 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 26-15, 63% 857 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-28, 47% -462 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 9-7, 56% -12 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-3, 67% 347 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Sonny Gray Starts | 12-4, 75% 559 | When Ryne Nelson Starts | 6-3, 67% 208 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 21 | Record at Home | 3-7, 30% -430 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-1, 88% 417 | vs Team .500 or Better | 1-3, 25% -183 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-2, 67% 94 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% 28 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Sonny Gray Starts | 2-1, 67% 32 | When Ryne Nelson Starts | 4-0, 100% 383 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-22, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-21, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 50-29, 63% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS | 10-6, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryne Nelson STARTS | 2-7, 22% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 25-23, 52% -21 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 21-27, 44% -1027 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-5, 55% +46 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-7, 30% -430
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 29-19, 60% +360 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 22-26, 46% -960 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-3, 73% +299 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-7, 30% -430
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 17-23, 42% -830 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 20-20, 50% -200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
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