The Chicago Cubs are 30-16 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 21-25 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Colin Rea is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito. Colin Rea has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lucas Giolito has a 39% chance of a QS. If Colin Rea has a quality start the Cubs has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 67%. In Lucas Giolito quality starts the Red Sox win 59%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Abraham Toro who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-25, 46% -414 | Record at Home | 30-16, 65% 162 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-23, 50% 47 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-27, 48% -541 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-14, 48% 111 | Record As Home Favorite | 26-12, 68% 183 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Lucas Giolito Starts | 8-4, 67% 451 | When Colin Rea Starts | 10-4, 71% 489 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -87 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% -53 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-2, 50% -8 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -381 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -98 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 47 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Lucas Giolito Starts | 1-1, 50% 9 | When Colin Rea Starts | 2-1, 67% 67 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-21, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-22, 51% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-2, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Lucas Giolito STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Colin Rea STARTS | 8-5, 62% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 22-24, 48% -271 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 26-20, 57% -459 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-5, 50% +169 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-4, 60% -53
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 24-22, 52% -336 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 31-15, 67% +281 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-4, 60% +43 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-4, 60% -53
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 17-25, 40% -1050 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 15-25, 38% -1250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 1-7, 12% -670
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