The Milwaukee Brewers are 27-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 19-25 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Quinn Priester is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Mitchell Parker. Quinn Priester has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitchell Parker has a 43% chance of a QS. If Quinn Priester has a quality start the Brewers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 63%. In Mitchell Parker quality starts the Nationals win 67%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-25, 43% 38 | Record at Home | 27-17, 61% 465 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-30, 35% -772 | vs Team Under .500 | 25-18, 58% 241 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 17-22, 44% 184 | Record As Home Favorite | 19-8, 70% 570 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Mitchell Parker Starts | 9-9, 50% 227 | When Quinn Priester Starts | 7-6, 54% -8 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -90 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 71 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-9, 25% -465 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-5, 62% 176 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-7, 36% -90 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 64 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Mitchell Parker Starts | 2-3, 40% -43 | When Quinn Priester Starts | 4-0, 100% 313 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-20, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-27, 37% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-34, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mitchell Parker STARTS | 9-8, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Quinn Priester STARTS | 6-7, 46% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 25-19, 57% +181 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 19-25, 43% -854 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-4, 64% +231 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 3-8, 27% -526
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 26-18, 59% -164 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 24-20, 55% -236 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-4, 64% -39 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-5, 55% -154
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 17-24, 41% -940 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 16-25, 39% -1150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 1-8, 11% -780
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