The Philadelphia Phillies are 23-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 27-15 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Ryan Bergert. Ranger Suarez has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ryan Bergert has a 43% chance of a QS. If Ranger Suarez has a quality start the Phillies has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 61%. In Ryan Bergert quality starts the Padres win 63%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 75% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-21, 52% -481 | Record at Home | 27-15, 64% 408 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 2-1, 67% 4 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-2, 33% -121 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-23, 50% -700 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-30, 35% -1176 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 19-13, 59% -155 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-4, 56% 116 | San Diego Padres |
| When Ranger Suarez Starts | 8-4, 67% 167 | When Ryan Bergert Starts | 4-1, 80% 438 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -39 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 34 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 2-1, 67% 4 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-2, 33% -121 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 200 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-9, 36% -320 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-2, 60% -6 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% -7 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Ranger Suarez Starts | 4-1, 80% 223 | When Ryan Bergert Starts | 2-1, 67% 175 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-27, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-25, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-8, 20% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS | 3-8, 27% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Bergert STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 23-21, 52% -549 San Diego Padres Home Games: 20-22, 48% -68 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-5, 50% -135 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-2, 80% +580
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 26-18, 59% -131 San Diego Padres Home Games: 25-17, 60% -7 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-4, 60% -6 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-4, 60% +27
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 21-16, 57% + 340 San Diego Padres Home Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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