July 11, 2025 8:37 AM EST

Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees 7/11/2025

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The New York Yankees are 26-17 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 24-20 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Carlos Rodon is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Chris Flexen. Carlos Rodon has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chris Flexen has a 38% chance of a QS. If Carlos Rodon has a quality start the Yankees has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 53%. In Chris Flexen quality starts the Cubs win 67%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-20, 55% 252Record at Home26-17, 60% -183Chicago Cubs
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better25-27, 48% -541vs Team .500 or Better21-26, 45% -1136Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog9-13, 41% -180Record As Home Favorite25-17, 60% -276Chicago Cubs
When Chris Flexen Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Carlos Rodon Starts9-9, 50% -354Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -250Record at Home5-5, 50% -273Chicago Cubs
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5006-1, 86% 225vs Team .500 or Better3-10, 23% -847Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog1-3, 25% -196Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -273Chicago Cubs
When Chris Flexen Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Carlos Rodon Starts1-3, 25% -265Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-18, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-26, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-8, 20% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-36, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Chris Flexen STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Carlos Rodon STARTS8-10, 44% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 22-22, 50% -729 New York Yankees Home Games: 21-22, 49% -521 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-1, 88% +366 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-5, 50% -101

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 25-19, 57% +40 New York Yankees Home Games: 26-17, 60% -124 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-1, 88% +474 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-5, 50% -273

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 27-14, 66% + 1160 New York Yankees Home Games: 19-15, 56% + 250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-1, 83% + 390 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270

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