The Cincinnati Reds are 23-19 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 20-21 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Nick Lodolo is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Cal Quantrill. Nick Lodolo has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cal Quantrill has a 17% chance of a QS. If Nick Lodolo has a quality start the Reds has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 71%. In Cal Quantrill quality starts the Marlins win 55%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 81% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Sanchez who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-21, 49% 889 | Record at Home | 23-19, 55% 113 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 2-1, 67% 105 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-2, 33% -90 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 19-30, 39% -63 | vs Team Under .500 | 25-17, 60% 563 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 19-19, 50% 1024 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-13, 50% -361 | Miami Marlins |
| When Cal Quantrill Starts | 10-8, 56% 848 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 10-9, 53% 37 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-1, 91% 1279 | Record at Home | 6-3, 67% 294 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-5, 50% 213 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-6, 57% 177 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-1, 91% 1279 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-2, 60% 43 | Miami Marlins |
| When Cal Quantrill Starts | 4-2, 67% 394 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 3-2, 60% 66 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-18, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-24, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cal Quantrill STARTS | 7-11, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Lodolo STARTS | 7-11, 39% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 17-24, 41% +12 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 24-18, 57% +283 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-7, 36% +48 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 6-3, 67% +294
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 20-21, 49% -1031 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 23-19, 55% -14 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 1-10, 9% -936 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 6-3, 67% +207
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 19-15, 56% + 250 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240
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