The Minnesota Twins are 24-18 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 24-20 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Chris Paddack has a 44% chance of a QS and Colin Rea a 40% chance. If Chris Paddack has a quality start the Twins has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 57%. If Colin Rea has a quality start the Cubs has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-20, 55% 252 | Record at Home | 24-18, 57% 54 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 29-9, 76% 955 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-29, 41% -1073 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 15-7, 68% 432 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-1, 80% 353 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Colin Rea Starts | 10-4, 71% 489 | When Chris Paddack Starts | 6-12, 33% -588 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-5, 44% -151 | Record at Home | 5-8, 38% -384 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 10-4, 71% 182 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-17, 32% -1014 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -54 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% 3 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Colin Rea Starts | 4-1, 80% 223 | When Chris Paddack Starts | 2-3, 40% -123 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-18, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-20, 51% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Colin Rea STARTS | 8-5, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Paddack STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 22-22, 50% -729 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 24-18, 57% +477 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-2, 78% +266 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-6, 54% +93
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 25-19, 57% +40 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 24-18, 57% +151 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-2, 78% +374 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -182
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 27-14, 66% + 1160 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480
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