The Boston Red Sox are 23-19 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 20-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Garrett Crochet has a 33% chance of a QS and Chase Burns a 38% chance. If Garrett Crochet has a quality start the Red Sox has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 59%. If Chase Burns has a quality start the Reds has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 10.4 and he has a 61% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Abraham Toro who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 78% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-21, 49% 64 | Record at Home | 23-19, 55% 34 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 23-17, 58% 348 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-22, 49% 10 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-15, 48% 215 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-16, 50% -481 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Chase Burns Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Garrett Crochet Starts | 10-8, 56% -64 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% 29 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 224 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -14 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-8, 33% -437 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% -57 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -172 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Chase Burns Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Garrett Crochet Starts | 4-1, 80% 228 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-22, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-24, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-42, 45% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chase Burns STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Garrett Crochet STARTS | 4-14, 22% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 21-20, 51% -377 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 23-19, 55% +508 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-6, 45% -154 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-4, 67% +490
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 23-18, 56% -35 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 22-20, 52% -252 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-6, 45% -242 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 6-6, 50% -50
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 14-22, 39% -1020 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 19-17, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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