The Cincinnati Reds are 22-18 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 19-23 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Nick Lodolo is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Stephen Kolek. Nick Lodolo has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Stephen Kolek has a 25% chance of a QS. If Nick Lodolo has a quality start the Reds has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 67%. In Stephen Kolek quality starts the Padres win 58%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 79% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 55% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-23, 45% -218 | Record at Home | 22-18, 55% 139 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS San Diego Padres | 1-0, 100% 114 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 18-29, 38% -986 | vs Team .500 or Better | 26-24, 52% 349 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-14, 50% 363 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-12, 50% -335 | San Diego Padres |
| When Stephen Kolek Starts | 5-6, 45% -130 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 9-8, 53% 63 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-9, 40% -35 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 415 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS San Diego Padres | 1-0, 100% 114 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-11, 39% -142 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-5, 55% 236 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-7, 46% 165 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -51 | San Diego Padres |
| When Stephen Kolek Starts | 2-4, 33% -138 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 3-2, 60% 133 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 17-22, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-23, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Kolek STARTS | 5-6, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Lodolo STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 26-16, 62% +1038 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 23-17, 58% +309 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 10-5, 67% +764 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 8-4, 67% +415
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 26-16, 62% +462 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 22-18, 55% +12 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 10-5, 67% +301 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 8-4, 67% +328
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 20-13, 61% + 570 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 20-12, 62% + 680 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 9-1, 90% + 790 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350
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