The San Diego Padres are 23-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 17-22 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Ryan Bergert is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Trevor Williams. Ryan Bergert has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Williams has a 33% chance of a QS. If Ryan Bergert has a quality start the Padres has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 71%. In Trevor Williams quality starts the Nationals win 62%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-22, 44% 88 | Record at Home | 23-14, 62% 228 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-0, 100% 144 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 19-28, 40% -80 | vs Team Under .500 | 24-8, 75% 996 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-19, 44% 234 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-10, 64% 112 | Washington Nationals |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 6-9, 40% -95 | When Ryan Bergert Starts | 3-1, 75% 379 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% 289 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% -110 | Washington Nationals |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-0, 100% 144 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-11, 35% -169 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-4, 64% 117 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-7, 46% 289 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-3, 62% 4 | Washington Nationals |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 2-3, 40% -59 | When Ryan Bergert Starts | 3-1, 75% 379 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-18, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-21, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-3, 77% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Williams STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Bergert STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 21-18, 54% -119 San Diego Padres Home Games: 16-21, 43% -290 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-6, 54% +193
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 23-16, 59% -163 San Diego Padres Home Games: 22-15, 59% -11 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-6, 54% -274 San Diego Padres Home Games: 9-4, 69% +216
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 15-21, 42% -810 San Diego Padres Home Games: 19-13, 59% + 470 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150
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