The Los Angeles Angels are 17-18 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 18-23 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox starter Garrett Crochet is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Tyler Anderson. Garrett Crochet has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Anderson has a 51% chance of a QS. If Garrett Crochet has a quality start the Red Sox has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 55%. In Tyler Anderson quality starts the Angels win 67%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Abraham Toro who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-23, 44% -435 | Record at Home | 17-18, 49% -100 | Los Angeles Angels |
| VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-3, 25% -226 | VS Boston Red Sox | 3-1, 75% 242 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team Under .500 | 18-19, 49% -501 | vs Team .500 or Better | 26-24, 52% 1240 | Los Angeles Angels |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-10, 38% -553 | Record as Home Underdog | 11-14, 44% -126 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Garrett Crochet Starts | 10-7, 59% 36 | When Tyler Anderson Starts | 9-6, 60% 504 | Los Angeles Angels |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-9, 44% -56 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -67 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-3, 25% -226 | VS Boston Red Sox | 3-1, 75% 242 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-5, 50% 38 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-10, 41% -9 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -32 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-6, 33% -255 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Garrett Crochet Starts | 4-1, 80% 228 | When Tyler Anderson Starts | 1-4, 20% -276 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-19, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-16, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-8, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Garrett Crochet STARTS | 4-13, 24% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Anderson STARTS | 10-5, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 20-21, 49% -399 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 18-17, 51% +232 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 8-8, 50% +104 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-7, 50% -67
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 22-19, 54% -155 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 22-13, 63% +507 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-9, 44% -413 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 10-4, 71% +320
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 15-22, 41% -920 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 13-17, 43% -570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-10, 33% -600 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
