The Chicago White Sox are 15-19 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 15-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. White Sox starter Shane Smith is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore. Shane Smith has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matthew Liberatore has a 44% chance of a QS. If Shane Smith has a quality start the White Sox has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 56%. In Matthew Liberatore quality starts the Cardinals win 70%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Mike Tauchman who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago White Sox
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago White Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-21, 42% -471 | Record at Home | 15-19, 44% 301 | Chicago White Sox |
| VS Chicago White Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-10, 57% 247 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-34, 32% -719 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-5, 44% -171 | Record as Home Underdog | 15-18, 45% 401 | Chicago White Sox |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 4-8, 33% -372 | When Shane Smith Starts | 4-6, 40% 78 | Chicago White Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago White Sox
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago White Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -344 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% 417 | Chicago White Sox |
| VS Chicago White Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 1-5, 17% -432 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-7, 42% 17 | Chicago White Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-3, 40% -147 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-6, 54% 417 | Chicago White Sox |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 1-4, 20% -311 | When Shane Smith Starts | 3-1, 75% 383 | Chicago White Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago White Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-17, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-14, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-48, 40% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Liberatore STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shane Smith STARTS | 4-6, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 19-17, 53% +33 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 16-18, 47% +5 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-6, 45% -47 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 7-6, 54% +201
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 21-15, 58% +161 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 18-16, 53% -488 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-4, 64% +196 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 7-6, 54% -123
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 11-17, 39% -770 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 12-13, 48% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
