The Los Angeles Dodgers are 26-12 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 18-20 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Matt Sauer is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Randy Vasquez. Matt Sauer has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Randy Vasquez has a 30% chance of a QS. If Matt Sauer has a quality start the Dodgers has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 73%. In Randy Vasquez quality starts the Padres win 66%. He has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-20, 47% -134 | Record at Home | 26-12, 68% 134 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 1-3, 25% -207 | VS San Diego Padres | 3-1, 75% 118 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-26, 40% -902 | vs Team .500 or Better | 26-20, 57% -190 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-12, 52% 347 | Record As Home Favorite | 25-12, 68% 32 | San Diego Padres |
| When Randy Vasquez Starts | 8-6, 57% 63 | When Matt Sauer Starts | 1-0, 100% 51 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-10, 41% -101 | Record at Home | 9-6, 60% 19 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 1-3, 25% -207 | VS San Diego Padres | 3-1, 75% 118 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-12, 40% -342 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-8, 53% -162 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-6, 54% 299 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-6, 57% -83 | San Diego Padres |
| When Randy Vasquez Starts | 3-2, 60% 54 | When Matt Sauer Starts | 0-0 No Games | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-20, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 24-12, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-10, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-33, 61% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Randy Vasquez STARTS | 4-10, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Matt Sauer STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 23-15, 61% +754 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 18-20, 47% -688 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 11-6, 65% +657 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 9-6, 60% +19
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 23-15, 61% +349 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 25-13, 66% -31 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 11-6, 65% +365 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 9-6, 60% +19
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 19-13, 59% + 470 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 20-11, 65% + 790 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 10-4, 71% + 560 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
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