The Detroit Tigers are 24-11 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 10-25 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Casey Mize is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Bailey Falter. Casey Mize has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bailey Falter has a 34% chance of a QS. If Casey Mize has a quality start the Tigers has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 75%. In Bailey Falter quality starts the Pirates win 53%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Jahmai Jones who averaged 3.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 1.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 45% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-25, 29% -1042 | Record at Home | 24-11, 69% 624 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 19-37, 34% -1270 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-21, 54% -22 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-20, 29% -690 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-9, 69% 356 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Bailey Falter Starts | 8-6, 57% 480 | When Casey Mize Starts | 7-5, 58% 175 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -90 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% -99 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-10, 52% 267 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-4, 69% 322 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% 10 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-5, 55% -99 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Bailey Falter Starts | 4-1, 80% 377 | When Casey Mize Starts | 1-3, 25% -218 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-23, 30% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-22, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-8, 27% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-10, 23% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bailey Falter STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Casey Mize STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 24-11, 69% +1123 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 19-16, 54% +216 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-4, 64% +304 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-8, 38% -225
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 24-11, 69% +376 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-12, 66% +365 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-4, 64% +10 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-7, 46% -273
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 15-14, 52% -40 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 16-15, 52% -50 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 2-9, 18% -790
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