The Atlanta Braves are 19-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 18-17 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter David Peterson. Spencer Schwellenbach has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while David Peterson has a 39% chance of a QS. If Spencer Schwellenbach has a quality start the Braves has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 67%. In David Peterson quality starts the Mets win 60%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-17, 51% -256 | Record at Home | 19-15, 56% -335 | New York Mets |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 21-7, 75% 239 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-31, 42% -1410 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-8, 47% 0 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-12, 59% -260 | New York Mets |
| When David Peterson Starts | 9-4, 69% 180 | When Spencer Schwellenbach Starts | 8-5, 62% -29 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% -16 | Record at Home | 4-8, 33% -578 | New York Mets |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-1, 92% 288 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-11, 31% -744 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-3, 50% 78 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-6, 33% -483 | New York Mets |
| When David Peterson Starts | 3-2, 60% -45 | When Spencer Schwellenbach Starts | 3-1, 75% 106 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-20, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-20, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN David Peterson STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Schwellenbach STARTS | 8-4, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 22-13, 63% +430 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 17-17, 50% -504 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-4, 64% +241 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-7, 42% -338
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 21-14, 60% +160 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 20-14, 59% -214 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-3, 73% +240 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-7, 42% -425
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 17-12, 59% + 380 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 11-21, 34% -1210 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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