The Cincinnati Reds are 17-16 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 17-22 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Andrew Abbott is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter David Festa. Andrew Abbott has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while David Festa has a 18% chance of a QS. If Andrew Abbott has a quality start the Reds has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 65%. In David Festa quality starts the Twins win 62%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 80% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 55% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-22, 44% -696 | Record at Home | 17-16, 52% -181 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-25, 39% -1029 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-22, 49% 41 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-17, 32% -783 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-11, 48% -404 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When David Festa Starts | 3-2, 60% -6 | When Andrew Abbott Starts | 8-4, 67% 412 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-9, 36% -530 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% 85 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-8, 20% -661 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-2, 71% 315 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-8, 11% -680 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-2, 50% -40 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When David Festa Starts | 1-1, 50% -28 | When Andrew Abbott Starts | 4-1, 80% 323 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-21, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-19, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-40, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN David Festa STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Abbott STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 24-15, 62% +532 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 18-15, 55% -11 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 9-5, 64% +298 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-4, 56% +85
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 28-11, 72% +1099 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 17-16, 52% -221 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 10-4, 71% +313 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 4-5, 44% -125
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 19-11, 63% + 690 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 19-9, 68% + 910 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70
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