The Chicago Cubs are 23-12 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 16-19 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Ben Brown is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Chad Patrick. Ben Brown has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chad Patrick has a 37% chance of a QS. If Ben Brown has a quality start the Cubs has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 66%. In Chad Patrick quality starts the Brewers win 64%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 16-19, 46% -324 | Record at Home | 23-12, 66% 148 | Chicago Cubs |
VS Chicago Cubs | 1-2, 33% -107 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-1, 67% 72 | Chicago Cubs |
vs Team .500 or Better | 26-25, 51% 29 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-23, 51% -95 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record As Road Underdog | 10-15, 40% -314 | Record As Home Favorite | 19-9, 68% 69 | Chicago Cubs |
When Chad Patrick Starts | 4-8, 33% -305 | When Ben Brown Starts | 6-6, 50% -84 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 7-3, 70% 466 | Record at Home | 9-2, 82% 189 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 12-4, 75% 811 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-7, 56% -82 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 315 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-2, 82% 189 | Milwaukee Brewers |
When Chad Patrick Starts | 2-3, 40% -10 | When Ben Brown Starts | 1-3, 25% -226 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-19, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-19, 44% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-9, 10% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Chad Patrick STARTS | 2-8, 20% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ben Brown STARTS | 10-2, 83% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 20-15, 57% +125 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 19-16, 54% -473 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 3-7, 30% -406 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-4, 64% -135
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 22-13, 63% +319 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 24-11, 69% +267 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-6, 40% -282 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-2, 82% +189
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 16-11, 59% + 390 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 13-18, 42% -680 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 1-9, 10% -890
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