June 17, 2025 7:06 AM EST

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs 6/17/2025

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The Chicago Cubs are 23-12 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 16-19 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Ben Brown is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Chad Patrick. Ben Brown has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chad Patrick has a 37% chance of a QS. If Ben Brown has a quality start the Cubs has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 66%. In Chad Patrick quality starts the Brewers win 64%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-19, 46% -324Record at Home23-12, 66% 148Chicago Cubs
VS Chicago Cubs1-2, 33% -107VS Milwaukee Brewers2-1, 67% 72Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better26-25, 51% 29vs Team .500 or Better24-23, 51% -95Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog10-15, 40% -314Record As Home Favorite19-9, 68% 69Chicago Cubs
When Chad Patrick Starts4-8, 33% -305When Ben Brown Starts6-6, 50% -84Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-3, 70% 466Record at Home9-2, 82% 189Milwaukee Brewers
VS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better12-4, 75% 811vs Team .500 or Better9-7, 56% -82Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog5-3, 62% 315Record As Home Favorite9-2, 82% 189Milwaukee Brewers
When Chad Patrick Starts2-3, 40% -10When Ben Brown Starts1-3, 25% -226Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-19, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-19, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-9, 10% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-47, 41% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Chad Patrick STARTS2-8, 20% OverOVER-UNDER IN Ben Brown STARTS10-2, 83% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 20-15, 57% +125 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 19-16, 54% -473 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 3-7, 30% -406 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-4, 64% -135

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 22-13, 63% +319 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 24-11, 69% +267 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-6, 40% -282 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-2, 82% +189

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 16-11, 59% + 390 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 13-18, 42% -680 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 1-9, 10% -890

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