June 17, 2025 7:06 AM EST

Houston Astros vs Athletics 6/17/2025

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The Athletics are 13-23 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 14-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Joey Estes has a 17% chance of a QS and Jason Alexander a 15% chance. If Joey Estes has a quality start the Athletics has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 62%. If Jason Alexander has a quality start the Astros has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.9 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Jacob Wilson who averaged 3.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 59% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDAthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-18, 44% -519Record at Home13-23, 36% -863Houston Astros
VS Athletics2-1, 67% 11VS Houston Astros1-2, 33% -72Houston Astros
vs Team Under .50012-9, 57% -104vs Team .500 or Better16-33, 33% -1283Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite8-9, 47% -339Record as Home Underdog11-14, 44% -48Athletics
When Jason Alexander Starts0-0 No GamesWhen JP Sears Starts5-8, 38% -240Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDAthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% 42Record at Home5-10, 33% -330Houston Astros
VS Athletics2-1, 67% 11VS Houston Astros1-2, 33% -72Houston Astros
vs Team Under .50013-4, 76% 588vs Team .500 or Better4-17, 19% -1190Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite4-3, 57% -8Record as Home Underdog5-6, 45% 70Athletics
When Jason Alexander Starts0-0 No GamesWhen JP Sears Starts1-4, 20% -290Houston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDAthleticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-18, 40% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-14, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-8, 27% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-7, 53% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON29-48, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jason Alexander STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN JP Sears STARTS9-4, 69% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 16-16, 50% -96 Athletics Home Games: 15-21, 42% -673 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-6, 45% -46 Athletics Home Games: 5-10, 33% -374

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 18-14, 56% +118 Athletics Home Games: 18-18, 50% -521 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-3, 73% +412 Athletics Home Games: 6-9, 40% -493

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 12-12, 50% -120 Athletics Home Games: 18-17, 51% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Athletics Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70

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