June 17, 2025 7:06 AM EST

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners 6/17/2025

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The Seattle Mariners are 19-18 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 16-19 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Bryan Woo is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Walker Buehler. Bryan Woo has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Walker Buehler has a 41% chance of a QS. If Bryan Woo has a quality start the Mariners has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 57%. In Walker Buehler quality starts the Red Sox win 67%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Boston Red SoxRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-19, 46% -227Record at Home19-18, 51% -347Boston Red Sox
VS Seattle Mariners2-2, 50% 36VS Boston Red Sox2-2, 50% 70Seattle Mariners
vs Team .500 or Better24-24, 50% 7vs Team .500 or Better24-23, 51% 34Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog11-10, 52% 309Record As Home Favorite15-16, 48% -581Boston Red Sox
When Walker Buehler Starts6-5, 55% 8When Bryan Woo Starts7-7, 50% -31Boston Red Sox

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Boston Red SoxRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 152Record at Home6-7, 46% -232Boston Red Sox
VS Seattle Mariners1-0, 100% 156VS Boston Red Sox0-1, 0% -100Boston Red Sox
vs Team Under .5003-2, 60% 181vs Team .500 or Better2-12, 14% -1029Boston Red Sox
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 167Record As Home Favorite6-7, 46% -232Boston Red Sox
When Walker Buehler Starts2-3, 40% -103When Bryan Woo Starts1-5, 17% -380Boston Red Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston Red SoxRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-17, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-15, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-44, 42% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Walker Buehler STARTS5-6, 45% OverOVER-UNDER IN Bryan Woo STARTS6-8, 43% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 17-18, 49% -340 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 16-21, 43% -571 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-5, 50% +163 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-6, 54% +24

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 17-18, 49% -434 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 17-20, 46% -694 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 2-8, 20% -692 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-7, 46% -232

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 12-19, 39% -890 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 23-11, 68% + 1090 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 2-7, 22% -570 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 9-3, 75% + 570

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