The Tampa Bay Rays are 24-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 14-22 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Zack Littell is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Dean Kremer. Zack Littell has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dean Kremer has a 41% chance of a QS. If Zack Littell has a quality start the Rays has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 66%. In Dean Kremer quality starts the Orioles win 63%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Jonathan Aranda who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 14-22, 39% -824 | Record at Home | 24-20, 55% -173 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-0, 100% 79 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 18-29, 38% -1125 | vs Team Under .500 | 11-11, 50% -363 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 11-16, 41% -445 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-13, 61% 107 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Dean Kremer Starts | 5-8, 38% -389 | When Zack Littell Starts | 7-6, 54% 169 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% 41 | Record at Home | 13-3, 81% 727 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-0, 100% 79 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% -94 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-5, 71% 714 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-5, 55% 158 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-2, 85% 614 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Dean Kremer Starts | 2-3, 40% -139 | When Zack Littell Starts | 3-1, 75% 169 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-23, 34% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-26, 37% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-11, 27% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Dean Kremer STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zack Littell STARTS | 3-9, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 19-17, 53% -67 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 27-17, 61% +620 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-9, 36% -497 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 12-4, 75% +603
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 20-16, 56% +20 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 28-16, 64% +566 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-9, 36% -497 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 12-4, 75% +551
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 25-9, 74% + 1510 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 25-13, 66% + 1070 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 12-3, 80% + 870
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