June 17, 2025 7:06 AM EST

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays 6/17/2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 22-13 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 16-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt. Chris Bassitt has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Pfaadt has a 40% chance of a QS. If Chris Bassitt has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 58%. In Brandon Pfaadt quality starts the Diamondbacks win 71%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-16, 50% 26Record at Home22-13, 63% 512Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better22-24, 48% -380vs Team .500 or Better25-27, 48% -121Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog11-8, 58% 474Record As Home Favorite12-7, 63% 72Arizona Diamondbacks
When Brandon Pfaadt Starts9-5, 64% 339When Chris Bassitt Starts9-4, 69% 346Toronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-7, 36% -181Record at Home9-2, 82% 480Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-6, 25% -428vs Team .500 or Better2-8, 20% -607Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 119Record As Home Favorite5-1, 83% 180Toronto Blue Jays
When Brandon Pfaadt Starts3-2, 60% 145When Chris Bassitt Starts4-1, 80% 235Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-15, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-13, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-34, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-34, 56% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS7-6, 54% OverOVER-UNDER IN Chris Bassitt STARTS5-8, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 19-13, 59% +177 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 20-15, 57% +202 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-6, 45% -179 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-4, 64% +128

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 18-14, 56% +71 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 21-14, 60% +210 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-5, 55% +1 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 9-2, 82% +450

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 12-16, 43% -560 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 16-16, 50% -160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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