The New York Mets are 24-7 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 15-17 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Kodai Senga is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Mike Soroka. Kodai Senga has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Soroka has a 36% chance of a QS. If Kodai Senga has a quality start the Mets has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 69%. In Mike Soroka quality starts the Nationals win 57%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 46% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-17, 47% 228 | Record at Home | 24-7, 77% 806 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 2-2, 50% 78 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-2, 50% -82 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-19, 37% -413 | vs Team Under .500 | 19-12, 61% -124 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-14, 48% 374 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-5, 81% 790 | New York Mets |
| When Mike Soroka Starts | 2-4, 33% -91 | When Kodai Senga Starts | 7-4, 64% 46 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-4, 67% 757 | Record at Home | 8-3, 73% 60 | Washington Nationals |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-4, 50% 120 | vs Team .500 or Better | 1-2, 33% -90 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-4, 67% 757 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-2, 80% 160 | Washington Nationals |
| When Mike Soroka Starts | 2-2, 50% 109 | When Kodai Senga Starts | 3-1, 75% 94 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-16, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-18, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mike Soroka STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kodai Senga STARTS | 1-9, 10% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 17-15, 53% -181 New York Mets Home Games: 15-16, 48% -617 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -102 New York Mets Home Games: 7-4, 64% -131
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 18-14, 56% -186 New York Mets Home Games: 16-15, 52% -615 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-7, 42% -403 New York Mets Home Games: 7-4, 64% -131
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 13-17, 43% -570 New York Mets Home Games: 12-13, 48% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 New York Mets Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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