The Cincinnati Reds are 13-13 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 16-10 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Nick Lodolo is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Ben Brown. Nick Lodolo has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ben Brown has a 29% chance of a QS. If Nick Lodolo has a quality start the Reds has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 58%. In Ben Brown quality starts the Cubs win 73%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 73% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Austin Hays who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Seiya Suzuki who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-10, 62% 607 | Record at Home | 13-13, 50% -286 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-0, 100% 87 | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-1, 0% -100 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 17-5, 77% 676 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-10, 50% -28 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 9-3, 75% 390 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-4, 50% -2 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Ben Brown Starts | 5-4, 56% 42 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 6-5, 55% 30 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-5, 62% 231 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -151 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-0, 100% 87 | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-1, 0% -100 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-6, 68% 325 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% -49 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-3, 67% 177 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 107 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Ben Brown Starts | 2-3, 40% -178 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 3-3, 50% -53 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-9, 64% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-16, 36% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-10, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Brown STARTS | 8-1, 89% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Lodolo STARTS | 4-6, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 10-16, 38% -774 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 14-12, 54% -116 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-8, 38% -291 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-7, 50% -151
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 12-14, 46% -449 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 14-12, 54% -116 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-8, 38% -369 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-7, 50% -151
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 18-7, 72% + 1030 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 16-7, 70% + 830 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-4, 67% + 360 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 9-3, 75% + 570
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
