April 06, 2025 7:51 AM EST

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4/6/2025

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 0-2 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 2-0 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Andrew Heaney is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Will Warren. Andrew Heaney has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Will Warren has a 35% chance of a QS. If Andrew Heaney has a quality start the Pirates has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 47%. In Will Warren quality starts the Yankees win 77%. He has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 77% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-0, 100% 117Record at Home0-2, 0% -200New York Yankees
VS Pittsburgh Pirates2-0, 100% 117VS New York Yankees0-2, 0% -200New York Yankees
vs Team Under .5005-0, 100% 320vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -552New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite2-0, 100% 117Record as Home Underdog0-2, 0% -200New York Yankees
When Will Warren Starts0-1, 0% -100When Andrew Heaney Starts0-1, 0% -100EVEN

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road53-35, 60% 818Record at Home39-42, 48% -666New York Yankees
VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-2, 33% -146VS New York Yankees2-1, 67% 150Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50036-30, 55% -965vs Team .500 or Better46-65, 41% -1476New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite37-27, 58% -151Record as Home Underdog17-18, 49% 144Pittsburgh Pirates
When Will Warren Starts1-1, 50% -60When Andrew Heaney Starts13-17, 43% -557New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-0, 100% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-40, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-38, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Will Warren STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Andrew Heaney STARTS0-1, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 0-2, 0% -105 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 0-2, 0% -200 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 40-48, 45% -2098 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -376

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 2-0, 100% +117 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 2-0, 100% +117 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 43-45, 49% -1283 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1340

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 0-2, 0% -220 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 0-2, 0% -220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 37-42, 47% -920 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-34, 48% -540

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