The Arizona Diamondbacks are 3-2 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 2-3 at home. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Corbin Burnes is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Brad Lord ®. Corbin Burnes has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brad Lord ® has a 44% chance of a QS. If Corbin Burnes has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 60%. In Brad Lord ® quality starts the Nationals win 63%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 51% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 72% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-2, 60% 83 | Record at Home | 2-3, 40% -50 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% -32 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-1, 50% 14 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 1-1, 50% -32 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-6, 25% -350 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-1, 50% -32 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-3, 40% -50 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Corbin Burnes Starts | 1-0, 100% 95 | When Brad Lord ® Starts | 6-2, 75% 261 | Washington Nationals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 45-36, 56% 937 | Record at Home | 38-43, 47% 83 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Washington Nationals | 5-1, 83% 280 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-5, 17% -364 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team Under .500 | 37-19, 66% 468 | vs Team .500 or Better | 41-71, 37% -1152 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 17-11, 61% 135 | Record as Home Underdog | 25-33, 43% 112 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Corbin Burnes Starts | 18-13, 58% -269 | When Brad Lord ® Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Corbin Burnes STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brad Lord ® STARTS | 5-3, 62% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-2, 60% +34 Washington Nationals Home Games: 3-2, 60% +112 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 31-50, 38% -2732 Washington Nationals Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1124
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-2, 60% +83 Washington Nationals Home Games: 3-2, 60% -8 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 44-37, 54% -447 Washington Nationals Home Games: 41-40, 51% -1147
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 Washington Nationals Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 37-38, 49% -480 Washington Nationals Home Games: 32-33, 49% -430
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