The Chicago Cubs are 6-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 4-6 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Colin Rea is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Taijuan Walker. Colin Rea has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Taijuan Walker has a 49% chance of a QS. If Colin Rea has a quality start the Cubs has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 61%. In Taijuan Walker quality starts the Phillies win 57%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -305 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -16 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-4, 50% -67 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-10, 52% 118 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-3, 25% -186 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-3, 57% -2 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 3-1, 75% 103 | When Colin Rea Starts | 2-0, 100% 308 | Chicago Cubs |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 41-42, 49% -981 | Record at Home | 44-37, 54% -295 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 4-2, 67% 95 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 2-4, 33% -212 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 56-45, 55% -260 | vs Team .500 or Better | 46-51, 47% -269 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-14, 42% -329 | Record As Home Favorite | 31-26, 54% -623 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 3-11, 21% -803 | When Colin Rea Starts | 20-11, 65% 752 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-4, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Colin Rea STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-5, 50% -37 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-5, 55% +1 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 40-43, 48% -1188 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-44, 46% -1131
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-5, 50% -152 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-4, 64% +116 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 38-45, 46% -1573 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 44-37, 54% -602
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 42-36, 54% + 240 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-38, 49% -480
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