April 15, 2025 11:48 AM EST

Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4/15/2025

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 3-3 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 1-5 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Mitch Keller has a 54% chance of a QS and Jake Irvin a 53% chance. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 49%. If Jake Irvin has a quality start the Nationals has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Alex Call who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Washington NationalsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-5, 17% -420Record at Home3-3, 50% 53Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesVS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5000-0 No Gamesvs Team .500 or Better2-8, 20% -582Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog0-3, 0% -300Record As Home Favorite0-1, 0% -100Pittsburgh Pirates
When Jake Irvin Starts0-3, 0% -300When Mitch Keller Starts2-1, 67% 66Pittsburgh Pirates

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Washington NationalsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road33-48, 41% -280Record at Home39-42, 48% -666Washington Nationals
VS Pittsburgh Pirates3-4, 43% -49VS Washington Nationals4-3, 57% 20Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50030-20, 60% 955vs Team Under .50030-21, 59% 435Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog29-46, 39% -391Record As Home Favorite22-24, 48% -810Washington Nationals
When Jake Irvin Starts13-20, 39% -317When Mitch Keller Starts18-15, 55% 325Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-1, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-38, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jake Irvin STARTS3-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-2, 67% +96 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-2, 67% +267 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 56-25, 69% +3546 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -376

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-1, 83% +279 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-2, 67% +120 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 52-29, 64% +451 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1340

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-6, 0% -660 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 1-4, 20% -340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 38-37, 51% -270 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-34, 48% -540

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