The Pittsburgh Pirates are 3-3 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 1-5 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Mitch Keller has a 54% chance of a QS and Jake Irvin a 53% chance. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 49%. If Jake Irvin has a quality start the Nationals has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Alex Call who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-5, 17% -420 | Record at Home | 3-3, 50% 53 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 0-0 No Games | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-8, 20% -582 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-3, 0% -300 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-1, 0% -100 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Jake Irvin Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 2-1, 67% 66 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-48, 41% -280 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -666 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-4, 43% -49 | VS Washington Nationals | 4-3, 57% 20 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 30-20, 60% 955 | vs Team Under .500 | 30-21, 59% 435 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 29-46, 39% -391 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-24, 48% -810 | Washington Nationals |
| When Jake Irvin Starts | 13-20, 39% -317 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 18-15, 55% 325 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-1, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-3, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-1, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jake Irvin STARTS | 3-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-2, 67% +96 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-2, 67% +267 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 56-25, 69% +3546 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -376
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-1, 83% +279 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-2, 67% +120 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 52-29, 64% +451 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1340
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-6, 0% -660 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 1-4, 20% -340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 38-37, 51% -270 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-34, 48% -540
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