The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-1 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 7-2 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Giants starter Justin Verlander. Jesus Luzardo has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Justin Verlander has a 43% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Phillies has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 65%. In Justin Verlander quality starts the Giants win 56%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Mike Yastrzemski who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-2, 78% 510 | Record at Home | 5-1, 83% 238 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS San Francisco Giants | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-4, 67% 273 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-1, 67% 124 | San Francisco Giants |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-2, 71% 344 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-1, 75% 14 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Justin Verlander Starts | 2-1, 67% 30 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 2-1, 67% 72 | Philadelphia Phillies |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 38-43, 47% -337 | Record at Home | 56-27, 67% 580 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 2-5, 29% -236 | VS San Francisco Giants | 5-2, 71% 148 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 47-58, 45% -963 | vs Team .500 or Better | 56-45, 55% -260 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 24-32, 43% -262 | Record As Home Favorite | 53-25, 68% 461 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Justin Verlander Starts | 7-11, 39% -638 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 6-9, 40% -116 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-2, 78% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 1-5, 17% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-2, 78% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-5, 17% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-31, 59% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 1-8, 11% -720 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-1, 83% +238 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 40-41, 49% +466 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 50-33, 60% +355
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 1-8, 11% -720 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-1, 83% +238 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 42-39, 52% -723 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 55-28, 66% +368
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 45-28, 62% + 1420 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 38-36, 51% -160
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