April 15, 2025 11:48 AM EST

San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies 4/15/2025

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-1 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 7-2 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Giants starter Justin Verlander. Jesus Luzardo has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Justin Verlander has a 43% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Phillies has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 65%. In Justin Verlander quality starts the Giants win 56%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Mike Yastrzemski who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-2, 78% 510Record at Home5-1, 83% 238San Francisco Giants
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesVS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better8-4, 67% 273vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 124San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog5-2, 71% 344Record As Home Favorite3-1, 75% 14San Francisco Giants
When Justin Verlander Starts2-1, 67% 30When Jesus Luzardo Starts2-1, 67% 72Philadelphia Phillies

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-43, 47% -337Record at Home56-27, 67% 580Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies2-5, 29% -236VS San Francisco Giants5-2, 71% 148Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better47-58, 45% -963vs Team .500 or Better56-45, 55% -260Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog24-32, 43% -262Record As Home Favorite53-25, 68% 461Philadelphia Phillies
When Justin Verlander Starts7-11, 39% -638When Jesus Luzardo Starts6-9, 40% -116Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-2, 78% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME1-5, 17% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-2, 78% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-5, 17% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS2-1, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 1-8, 11% -720 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-1, 83% +238 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 40-41, 49% +466 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 50-33, 60% +355

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 1-8, 11% -720 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-1, 83% +238 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 42-39, 52% -723 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 55-28, 66% +368

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 45-28, 62% + 1420 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 38-36, 51% -160

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