March 31, 2025 7:11 AM EST

Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers 3/31/2025

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The Milwaukee Brewers are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Elvin Rodriguez is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Kris Bubic. Elvin Rodriguez has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kris Bubic has a 39% chance of a QS. If Elvin Rodriguez has a quality start the Brewers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 13.9 and he has a 73% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 61%. In Kris Bubic quality starts the Royals win 65%. He has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-0 No GamesRecord at Home0-0 No GamesN/A
VS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5000-0 No Gamesvs Team Under .5000-0 No GamesN/A
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite0-0 No GamesN/A
When Kris Bubic Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Elvin Rodriguez Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road44-41, 52% 269Record at Home48-36, 57% 126Kansas City Royals
VS Milwaukee Brewers2-1, 67% 53VS Kansas City Royals1-2, 33% -90Kansas City Royals
vs Team .500 or Better49-59, 45% -811vs Team .500 or Better57-45, 56% 1053Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog27-31, 47% 116Record As Home Favorite34-23, 60% 15Kansas City Royals
When Kris Bubic Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Elvin Rodriguez Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER AT HOME0-0 No GamesN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-34, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Kris Bubic STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Elvin Rodriguez STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 0-0 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 0-0 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 35-50, 41% -1723 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 41-43, 49% -569

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 0-0 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 0-0 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 45-40, 53% -891 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 52-32, 62% +821

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 0-0 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 0-0 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 42-32, 57% + 680 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 29-35, 45% -950

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