The Chicago Cubs are 54-31 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 44-38 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Matthew Boyd is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Freddy Peralta. Matthew Boyd has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Freddy Peralta has a 43% chance of a QS. If Matthew Boyd has a quality start the Cubs has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 65%. In Freddy Peralta quality starts the Brewers win 65%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 44-38, 54% 412 | Record at Home | 54-31, 64% 249 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 7-9, 44% -262 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 9-7, 56% 40 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 47-40, 54% 643 | vs Team .500 or Better | 42-48, 47% -1223 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 18-12, 60% -8 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-6, 50% -31 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Freddy Peralta Starts | 21-14, 60% 211 | When Matthew Boyd Starts | 19-16, 54% -363 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-7, 22% -526 | Record at Home | 9-4, 69% 228 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 2-1, 67% 45 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-2, 33% -119 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -181 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-7, 42% -217 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-3, 25% -233 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Freddy Peralta Starts | 3-2, 60% -28 | When Matthew Boyd Starts | 5-1, 83% 248 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 39-40, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 37-44, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 19-16, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS | 14-19, 42% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 37-45, 45% -1479 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 51-34, 60% -23 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-3, 67% +287 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 10-3, 77% +415
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 43-39, 52% -663 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 56-29, 66% +601 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-4, 56% +19 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 10-3, 77% +415
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 35-29, 55% + 310 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 29-42, 41% -1720 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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