October 07, 2025 5:01 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers 10/7/2025

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The Detroit Tigers are 46-35 at home this season and the Seattle Mariners are 39-42 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Logan Gilbert is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Jack Flaherty. Logan Gilbert has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Flaherty has a 40% chance of a QS. If Logan Gilbert has a quality start the Mariners has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 56%. In Jack Flaherty quality starts the Tigers win 70%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road39-42, 48% -494Record at Home46-35, 57% -233Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers5-3, 62% 316VS Seattle Mariners3-5, 38% -92Seattle Mariners
vs Team .500 or Better48-44, 52% -73vs Team .500 or Better47-45, 51% -358Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite22-23, 49% -614Record as Home Underdog8-5, 62% 401Detroit Tigers
When Logan Gilbert Starts15-10, 60% -13When Jack Flaherty Starts15-22, 41% -1011Seattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-1, 86% 402Record at Home0-7, 0% -700Seattle Mariners
VS Detroit Tigers1-1, 50% 29VS Seattle Mariners1-1, 50% 64Detroit Tigers
vs Team Under .50016-2, 89% 784vs Team .500 or Better8-15, 35% -568Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite4-0, 100% 308Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesSeattle Mariners
When Logan Gilbert Starts3-1, 75% 80When Jack Flaherty Starts2-2, 50% 52Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD47-33, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME40-37, 52% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Logan Gilbert STARTS11-13, 46% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS21-15, 58% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 37-44, 46% -797 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 40-41, 49% -343 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 1-6, 14% -499 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 1-6, 14% -502

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 32-49, 40% -2376 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 43-38, 53% -844 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 2-5, 29% -352 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 0-7, 0% -700

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 24-43, 36% -2330 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 35-32, 52% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 180

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