The Philadelphia Phillies are 55-26 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 41-40 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Dodgers starter Blake Snell. Jesus Luzardo has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Blake Snell has a 41% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Phillies has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 56%. In Blake Snell quality starts the Dodgers win 70%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 41-40, 51% -1202 | Record at Home | 55-26, 68% 775 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 2-4, 33% -242 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 4-2, 67% 237 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 50-37, 57% -332 | vs Team .500 or Better | 45-35, 56% -53 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 33-33, 50% -1278 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-1, 83% 414 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Blake Snell Starts | 7-5, 58% -102 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 18-14, 56% -168 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-3, 73% 343 | Record at Home | 10-3, 77% 365 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-2, 33% -133 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 2-1, 67% 113 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-2, 75% 265 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-3, 62% 61 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-3, 62% 37 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-0, 100% 104 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Blake Snell Starts | 3-0, 100% 162 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 3-1, 75% 63 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 34-45, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 42-37, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-38, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Blake Snell STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 19-12, 61% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 35-46, 43% -1528 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 52-29, 64% +812 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -296 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-5, 62% +185
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 40-41, 49% -1321 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 55-26, 68% +775 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -430 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-3, 77% +365
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 35-34, 51% -240 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 31-36, 46% -860 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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