The Toronto Blue Jays are 59-29 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 45-41 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Kevin Gausman has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a 46% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 53%. In Yoshinobu Yamamoto quality starts the Dodgers win 67%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 45-41, 52% -985 | Record at Home | 59-29, 67% 1851 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 2-2, 50% -70 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 2-2, 50% 70 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 57-39, 59% -40 | vs Team .500 or Better | 57-45, 56% 1209 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 36-34, 51% -1162 | Record as Home Underdog | 21-8, 72% 1448 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts | 19-18, 51% -774 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 18-19, 49% -342 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-1, 89% 579 | Record at Home | 9-2, 82% 523 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 1-0, 100% 123 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-2, 71% 145 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-1, 80% 378 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-1, 80% 172 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-0, 100% 250 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts | 3-1, 75% 71 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 3-2, 60% -8 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 36-48, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 48-36, 57% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-38, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Yoshinobu Yamamoto STARTS | 14-22, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 16-17, 48% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 36-50, 42% -1805 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 48-40, 55% +244 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 1-8, 11% -677 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 8-3, 73% +408
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 42-44, 49% -1422 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 50-38, 57% -92 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 3-6, 33% -345 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 8-3, 73% +325
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 37-37, 50% -370 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 41-34, 55% + 360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-3, 70% + 370
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