October 02, 2025 1:06 PM EST

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 10/2/2025

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The Cleveland Guardians are 46-37 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 41-41 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Slade Cecconi has a 49% chance of a QS and Jack Flaherty a 47% chance. If Slade Cecconi has a quality start the Guardians has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 50%. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road41-41, 50% -719Record at Home46-37, 55% -84Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians6-9, 40% -478VS Detroit Tigers9-6, 60% 435Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better45-44, 51% -534vs Team .500 or Better43-48, 47% -98Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog16-20, 44% -188Record As Home Favorite35-20, 64% 363Cleveland Guardians
When Jack Flaherty Starts14-22, 39% -1123When Slade Cecconi Starts12-10, 55% 187Cleveland Guardians

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-8, 43% -144Record at Home11-4, 73% 410Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians2-6, 25% -417VS Detroit Tigers6-2, 75% 483Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better6-14, 30% -744vs Team Under .50020-6, 77% 1268Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog4-5, 44% 22Record As Home Favorite10-3, 77% 381Cleveland Guardians
When Jack Flaherty Starts1-3, 25% -160When Slade Cecconi Starts3-2, 60% 41Cleveland Guardians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD44-38, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME37-42, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-10, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS20-15, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Slade Cecconi STARTS10-11, 48% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 48-34, 59% +797 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 38-45, 46% -955 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-6, 57% +236 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-11, 27% -702

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 49-33, 60% +429 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 47-36, 57% -61 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-8, 43% -288 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-8, 47% -284

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 44-27, 62% + 1430 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 39-31, 56% + 490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 11-4, 73% + 660

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